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Home Sport Updating who the Steelers could play in the AFC Wild Card Round

Updating who the Steelers could play in the AFC Wild Card Round


The #Pittsburgh #Steelers are the 2020 AFC #North #Champions. #By defeating the #Indianapolis #Colts on #Sunday, the #Steelers won their division championship which guarantees them one of the top four playoff seeds and a home playoff game.

#Heading into #Week 17, the #Steelers will finish either the 2nd or 3rd position in the #American #Football #Conference. #While the #Steelers finishing as the #3 seed is much more likely, their opponent for the #Wild #Card #Round could actually be any one of five teams depending on the final week of the season.

#Before diving into the scenarios for the #Steelers opponents, let’s take a look at what will determine if the #Steelers are the #2 or #3 seed in the AFC.


The #Steelers #Seed

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The #Steelers will either finish in the 2nd or 3rd seed in the AFC based on the outcome of both their game with the #Cleveland #Browns and the game between the #Miami #Dolphins and #Buffalo #Bills. The #Steelers cannot catch the #Kansas #City #Chiefs for the number one seed, nor can they be caught by either the #Tennessee #Titans or #Indianapolis #Colts as the two teams still fighting to win the AFC #South. The only team in contention with the #Steelers for seeding purposes is the #Buffalo #Bills. #Since the #Steelers lost to the #Bills in the head-to-head matchup, the #Steelers would have to finish one game ahead in order to gain the #2 seed.

#Here is the exact scenario for the #Steelers to gain the number two seed:

#Steelers WIN in #Week 17 and #Bills LOSE to the #Dolphins

#With no first-round bye going to the 2nd seed beginning in 2020, the #Steelers are more interested in their players being at full health going into #Wild #Card #Weekend then they would be in gaining the 2nd seed. #Since playing for a specific matchup would be very complicated (as will be explained below), the only advantage coming out of having the 2nd seed would be hosting a #Divisional #Round game should the team make it past the #Wild #Card #Round. #While that home-field advantage would be helpful when the time comes, the greater concern is getting through each round of the postseason. #With the #Steelers needing a win AND to get help, the decision to sit #Ben #Roethlisberger became much easier.


The #Wild #Card #Seeds

#Going into the final week of the 2020 NFL season, there are five teams in the AFC with a record of 10-5 and only four of them can qualify for the playoffs. #Even with an extra team making the postseason from each conference, the AFC will have a 10—and possibly 11—win team NOT qualify. #Here are the current standings of those five teams in the AFC entering #Week 17.

4. #Tennessee #Titans

5. #Miami #Dolphins
6. #Baltimore #Ravens
7. #Cleveland #Browns
8. #Indianapolis #Colts

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#Currently the #Tennessee #Titans are in line to win the AFC #South as they hold the fourth seed. #Obviously, the only team which could move into that seed would be the #Indianapolis #Colts if they could catch the #Titans. #In order for #Indy to overtake the spot, they would have to defeat the #Jacksonville #Jaguars and have the #Tennessee #Titans lose to the #Houston #Texans. #Unless both of those things occur, the #Tennessee #Titans will have the #4 seed.

#When it comes to the three #Wild #Card teams, where they stand now is the order in which they would finish based on tiebreakers. #From all the different scenarios I have tested, these tiebreakers do not appear to change based on any other outcomes in #Week 17. #So the ultimate seeding will come based on where teams stand now. #Any team that were to lose in #Week 17 gets bumped from their position to 8th spot at the bottom of the list. #If multiple of these teams were to lose in #Week 17, where they would fall into place is based on where they stand now.

#For example, The #Miami #Dolphins are currently the #5 seed. #Should they lose to the #Buffalo #Bills in #Week 17, they would bump it to the bottom of the list in the 8th position. #But if any other of these teams were to also lose, they would then fall below the #Dolphins and #Miami would climb up a spot.

#If #Colts were to win and the #Titans were to lose, #Tennessee holds the tiebreaker among most of the 5 teams (not #Cleveland in a head-to-head) and would be ranked ahead of most other teams on the list who also lost in #Week 17. #So the only way the #Titans fail to make the playoffs is if they are the only team of the 5 teams to lose their last game other than the #Browns.


#Likely #Scenarios

#First, let’s look at the odds of each of the remaining teams to finish in each seed according to #Josh #Rowntree of KDKA (NOTE: these odds were calculated before the announcement of #Ben #Roethlisberger not playing this week):

#To total but those percentages, here are the odds for each remaining team to make the playoffs:

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#Titans: 92.1%
#Ravens: 88.8%
#Colts: 83.5%
#Dolphins: 77.6%
#Browns: 57.9%

The most interesting thing from these totals is the #Dolphins being on the lower end of the odds as the current #5 seed. The only way the #Dolphins don’t make the playoffs is if they lose to the #Bills and ALL four other teams (#Titans, #Ravens, #Browns, and #Colts) all win. #Also, the only way the #Browns miss the playoffs is if they lose to the #Steelers and the #Colts beat the #Jaguars.

#If all five teams who are 10–5 entering #Week 17 manage to win their games, which means the #Steelers and #Bills would both lose, then the #Steelers would face the #Baltimore #Ravens in the #Wild #Card #Round. #Currently the #Ravens, #Browns, #Titans, and #Colts are all favored to win on #Sunday with the #Dolphins and #Bills currently #Even #Odds according to oddsshark.com.

#If all teams who are currently favored when their games and the #Bills defeat the #Dolphins, then the #Steelers would face the #Browns again in the #Wild #Card #Round, this time at #Heinz #Field.

#Here are the scenarios for the #Steelers to face each remaining team based on the outcomes on #Sunday:

#Steelers as the #2 seed (PIT over CLE, MIA over BUF):

#To face MIA: #None
#To face BAL: IND over JAX; CIN over BAL (TEN vs HOU is irrelevant)
#To face IND: TEN over HOU; IND over JAX; BAL over CIN
#To face TEN: #None
#To face CLE: TEN over HOU; JAX over IND; BAL over CIN

#Steelers as the #3 seed (BUF over MIA):

#If PIT defeats CLE…
#To face MIA: TEN over HOU; #One win and one loss by IND and BAL
#To face BAL: TEN over HOU; JAX over IND; CIN over BAL
#To face IND: TEN over HOU; IND over JAX; BAL over CIN
#To face TEN: HOU over TEN; IND over JAX; BAL over CIN
#To face CLE: #None (CLE can only get the #7 seed)

#Steelers as the #3 seed (BUF over MIA):

#If CLE defeats PIT…
#To face MIA: JAX over IND; CIN over BAL
#To face BAL: #None
#To face IND: TEN over HOU; IND over JAX; CIN over BAL
#To face TEN: HOU over TEN; IND over JAX; CIN over BAL
#To face CLE: BAL def CIN

#Steelers as the #3 seed (MIA over BUF & CLE over PIT):

#To face MIA: #None
#To face BAL: BAL over CIN
#To face IND: #None
#To face TEN: #None
#To face CLE: CIN def BAL


#Confused yet? #All of these things will be unfolding on #Sunday beginning at 1 PM with the #Steelers at #Browns, #Ravens at #Bengals, and #Dolphins at #Bills and will continue at 4:25 PM with the #Titans at #Texans and #Jaguars at #Colts. #Stay tuned to BTSC as we will be running an updated playoff matchup article during the games giving the current scenarios as they unfold until the #Steelers’ #Wild #Card opponent is set.





[ source link ]
https://www.behindthesteelcurtain.com/2020/12/30/22206250/updated-playoff-scenarios-who-the-steelers-could-play-in-the-afc-wild-card-round-browns-ravens-colts

##Updating ##Steelers #play #AFC ##Wild ##Card

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