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NFL Week 17 odds, picks: Cowboys give themselves a shot at the playoffs, Packers secure No. 1 seed


#Well, we made it and it’s admittedly a little bittersweet that we’re at the finish line of the 2020 regular season. I’m happy we were able to get a full year of football under our belts but now we’re about to close the book on this bizarre, action-packed regular season. #Before we say goodbye, however, #Week 17 is poised to go out with a bang as there are a number of playoff spots that are still up for grabs, so we’re looking at a bonkers slate to bet on.

#As we enter this final week of the regular season, we’ve so far gone 109-120-9 ATS and are 158-79-1 SU. #This slate also presents a nice opportunity for us to overcome a rough #Week 16 where the football simply didn’t bounce our way. #We’ll look to rebound this week as we close out the regular season starting with our five locks of the week. #All NFL odds via #William #Hill #Sportsbook.

#Locks of the #Week

#Packers at #Bears

#Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

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#Latest #Odds:

#Green #Bay #Packers
-5.5

#Plenty is on the line here for these NFC #North squads. A #Chicago win and they are in the playoffs. #As for the #Packers, they’ve already clinched the division and are now looking to secure the #No. 1 seed and the lone first-round bye in the conference with a victory. #Both of these clubs have been on a tear as of late, but the #Bears’ run is a bit more surprising. They’ve won and covered in three straight games since going a six-game SU losing streak. #Over the last four weeks, they are scoring over 30 points per game. #Meanwhile, #Aaron #Rodgers is playing at an MVP level and has a great history against #Chicago. #In his career, the #Packers QB is 17-7 ATS vs. #Chicago. #Under #Matt #LaFleur, #Green #Bay is 3-0 SU and ATS against the #Bears and own a +10.3 points per game differential.

#Projected score: #Green #Bay 30, #Chicago 24
#My pick: #Packers -5.5

#Steelers at #Browns

#Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

#Latest #Odds:

#Pittsburgh #Steelers
+10

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#At first glance, you may be a bit confused at this line, but #Mike #Tomlin noted this week that he’ll be throwing out the B #Team in this contest and rest key starters, including #Ben #Roethlisberger. #That means #Mason #Rudolph will get the nod under center. #As the starter last year, #Rudolph’s #Steelers went 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS. #He was also 3-1 ATS as an underdog, albeit with that one loss coming against the #Browns in that infamous #Myles #Garrett game. #Cleveland needs this game to most-easily secure a playoff spot as all they need is a win to punch their ticket. #That’s not the easiest of paths for #Pittsburgh’s JV club as they will now be getting #Baker #Mayfield and company’s best punch, but I think they’ll surprisingly be able to hold their own and keep this contest from going haywire. The #Browns clinch a playoff spot, but #Pittsburgh keeps it close. #Under #Mike #Tomlin (since 2007), the #Steelers are 35-19-2 ATS (65%) as an underdog, which is the second-best mark in the NFL.

#Projected score: #Cleveland 30, #Pittsburgh 23
#My pick: #Steelers +10

#Dolphins at #Bills

#Sunday, 1p.m. ET (CBS)

#Latest #Odds:

#Buffalo #Bills
-2

#While nothing is official, the #Buffalo #Bills are in a similar position to the #Steelers and it wouldn’t be shocking if they elected to hold out or limit the exposure to some of their star players as they get ready for the playoffs. #As for #Miami, a win gets them into the playoffs, so they’ll be coming into #Buffalo with full force. #All things being equal, I’d likely lean towards a #Josh #Allen-led #Bills team for this matchup. #However, with the potential of him playing a half of football or not at all, #Miami is the smart play. #Both these teams are great against the spread, but the #Dolphins come in with the better record at 11-4 ATS this season. #Despite the dramatic win against the #Raiders, they did fail to cover in #Week 16. #That’s noteworthy as they are 3-0 ATS following their previous three ATS losses this season (5-0 ATS following their last 5 ATS losses).

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#Projected score: #Dolphins 27, #Bills 24
#My pick: #Dolphins +1

#Cowboys at #Giants

#Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

#Latest #Odds:

#Dallas #Cowboys
-2.5

#As crazy as it sounds, both of these under .500 squads are still playing for the NFC #East title. #All either of these two teams needs is a win and a #Washington (who plays #Philadelphia on #Sunday #Night #Football) loss for them to win the division, which essentially makes this a playoff contest for them. #Dallas comes into this game winning and covering in three straight games. They are 5-2 ATS ever since starting the year 0-8 ATS. #Over that streak, they are averaging 36 points per game, have won every game by eight or more and #Andy #Dalton has seven passing touchdowns to just one interception. #Meanwhile, #New #York has lost and failed to cover in three straight coming into #Sunday and have lost each game by 14 or more points. I don’t expect those tides to turn in this team, meaning #Dallas is giving itself a shot at the playoffs.

#Projected score: #Dallas 33, #New #York 20
#My pick: #Cowboys -3

#Titans at #Texans

#Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

#Latest #Odds:

#Tennessee #Titans
-7.5

#This has all the makings of a #Derrick #Henry showcase. #Houston is on a four-game losing streak and fresh off a #Week 16 loss to the #Bengals where they gave up 540 yards of total offense. The #Texans have allowed backs to run for 138.8 yards per game on a 5.4 yards per carry clip, both the most in the NFL. #Meanwhile, #Henry leads the league with 118.5 rushing yards per game. The #Titans, who can clinch the AFC #South with a win, are under .500 ATS this season but are 6-1 SU as a touchdown favorite under #Mike #Vrabel. The #Texans haven’t shown much fight this season and with #Henry having easy running lanes, he should be able to run #Tennessee into the playoffs.

#Projected score: #Titans 33, #Texans 24
#My pick: #Titans -7.5

#Rest of the bunch

#Ravens at #Bengals
#Projected score: #Ravens 30, #Bengals 14
#My pick: #Ravens -13

#Vikings at #Lions
#Projected score: #Vikings 28, #Lions 24
#My pick: #Lions +7

#Jets vs. #Patriots
#Projected score: #Jets 21, #Patriots 17
#My pick: #Jets +3

#Falcons at #Buccaneers
#Projected score: #Buccaneers 27, #Falcons 23
#My pick: #Falcons +6.5

#Raiders at #Broncos
#Projected score: #Raiders 24, #Broncos 21
#My pick: #Raiders -2.5

#Jaguars at #Colts
#Projected score: #Colts 28, #Jaguars 10
#My pick: #Colts -14

#Chargers at #Cheifs
#Projected score: #Chargers 33, #Chiefs 27
#My pick: #Chargers -3.5

#Cardinals at #Rams
#Projected score: #Rams 24, #Cardinals 21
#My pick: #Rams -1

#Seahawks at 49ers
#Projected score: #Seahawks 26, 49ers 20
#My pick: #Seahawks -5.5

#Saints at #Panthers
#Projected score: #Saints 27, #Panthers 20
#My pick: #Saints -6.5

#Washington at #Eagles
#Projected score: #Washington 23, #Eagles 20
#My pick: #Wasington -1.5

#Picks #Record

#Against the spread in #Week 16: 3-12-1 (#Yikes!)
ATS overall: 109-120-9

#Straight up in #Week 16: 9-7
SU overall: 158-79-1





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#NFL ##Week #odds #picks ##Cowboys #give #shot #playoffs ##Packers #secure #seed

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