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Why Josh Hawley’s move could endanger Senate Republicans


#Hawley’s announcement that he will object to the certification of the election results from at least one state on #January 6 turns what was going to be a ceremonial process into an actual headache for #Republican rank-and-file.

The vote next week isn’t about one day, it’s about the impact it will have on members for years to come. #Trump keeps score and he’s not going to go quietly into the background. #Trump’s baked into the #Republican brand now and any senator who crosses him next week is keenly aware that there could eventually be a price to pay for that.

#Maybe it’s no more than #Twitter retribution. #Maybe, however, #Trump’s ire is so powerful it leads to #Republican primary challengers popping up in races all over the map in 2022. #Republican senators will essentially be choosing #Wednesday between a vote on an election most acknowledge was fair and their political futures. #Hawley contacted leadership and let them know of his plans ahead of time, but the announcement has still baffled #Republican members and aides alike.

“#It’s the height of selfishness to subject nearly all his colleagues to a backlash from conservatives just so he can kickstart his presidential campaign,” one #Republican aide said. “#Reminds me of the brilliant ‘shut down the government to defund #Obamacare’ strategy.’ #This will turn out the same way and he knows it.”

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#Republican #Sen. #Susan #Collins of #Maine had this to say: “I do not think that he will prevail in his quest. #And I question why he is doing it when the courts have unanimously thrown out the suits that the #President’s team have filed for lack of credible evidence.”

#And overnight, #Sen. #Ben #Sasse, a #Republican from #Nebraska, took to #Facebook to post why he thought the entire exercise was the #President and his allies “playing with fire.”

“#Every public official has a responsibility to tell the truth,” #Sasse said. “#All the clever arguments and rhetorical gymnastics in the world won’t change the fact that this #January 6th effort is designed to disenfranchise millions of #Americans simply because they voted for someone in a different party. #We ought to be better than that. #If we normalize this, we’re going to turn #American politics into a #Hatfields and #McCoys endless blood feud — a house hopelessly divided.”

#Some big picture perspective

There are 21 #Republican #Senate seats to defend in 2022. There are 13 #Democratic ones. #It’s going to be a heavy lift next cycle already for #Republicans and no one is looking to recreate the intra-party primary fights that plagued the party between 2010 and 2014 and ultimately ended in #Republicans losing races they thought they had locked down.

These members were also the same crew that had to run for reelection in 2016 when #Trump was on the top of the ticket. #Many of them lived through the #Access #Hollywood tape, and they were asked to comment on everything #Trump said at his bombastic campaign rallies. The expectation for many of them had been that their reelections in 2022 would look very different. #Trump is going to be gone, but this vote means that there is a chance their fortunes are going to be tied to #Trump once again.

These are the members up for reelection in 2022 and worth watching next week:

  • #Sen. #Dick #Shelby of #Alabama
  • #Its. #Lisa #Murkowksi of #Alaska
  • #Sen. #John #Boozman of #Arkansas
  • #Sen. #Chuck #Grassley of #Iowas
  • #Sen. #Marco #Rubio of #Florida
  • #Sen. #Kelly #Loeffler of #Georgia (if she wins her #January 5 runoff to keep the seat she was appointed to)
  • #Sen. #Mike #Crapo of #Idaho
  • #Sen. #Todd #Young of #Indiana
  • #Sen. #Jerry #Moran of #Kansas
  • #Sen. #Rand #Paul of #Kentucky
  • #Sen. #John #Kennedy of #Louisiana
  • #Sen. #Roy #Blunt of #Missouri
  • #Sen. #John #Hoeven of #North #Dakota
  • #Sen. #Rob #Portman of #Ohio
  • #Sen. #James #Lankford of #Oklahoma
  • #Sen. #Tim #Scott of #South #Carolina
  • #Sen. #John #Thune of #South #Dakota
  • #Sen. #Mike #Lee of #Utah
  • #Sen. #Ron #Johnson of #Wisconsin

#Hawley was asked on #Wednesday if he was worried about what his colleagues would think of his maneuver, and if it would make him less popular: “#More than I already am?” he quipped back.

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#Other senators to watch

#Hawley is the first senator to say he plans to object to the #Electoral #College results from at least one state. #But, he may not be the last. #Johnson said on #Wednesday night that he wouldn’t object to any states, but that he did support #Hawley.

#Johnson, a #Republican who chaired a hearing on allegations of election fraud earlier this month, told reporters that there was “no reason for more people to object. #All it takes is one.”

CNN’s #Ali #Zaslav pulled together a list of GOP senators and senators-elect to watch:

  • #Republican #Sen.-elect #Tommy #Tuberville of #Alabama
  • #Paul
  • #Loeffler
  • #Republican #Sen.-elect #Roger #Marshall of #Kansas

#Also worth keeping an eye on two other 2024 contenders: #Republican #Sens. #Ted #Cruz of #Texas and #Tom #Cotton of #Arkansas.

#On the schedule #Thursday: The #Senate will convene at 12 p.m. ET, but no votes are planned. There will be another procedural vote #Friday afternoon on the NDAA.

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[ source link ]
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/12/31/politics/josh-hawley-senate-republican-reaction/index.html

##Josh ##Hawleys #move #endanger ##Senate ##Republicans

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