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“December and January will be the worst months of COVID-19 in Mexico”: UNAM specialist warned that the lowest point in the pandemic has yet to be touched


Mexico exceeded 100,000 deaths from COVID-19 in November and also one million infections (Photo: Cuartoscuro)

Mexico is experiencing difficult days and weeks in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nine months after the first registered case, the country began a “second wave” of infections and deaths for the disease caused by the new coronavirus. And yet, complicated months are still looming in the health battle.

“We’re faced with a clear upturn in cases, similar to what other countries have already experienced all over the world, “said Dr. Isaac Chávez Díaz, anesthesiologist at UNAM, to Infobae Mexico.

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The doctor is not without reasons. Just a couple of weeks ago the country surpassed the barrier of 100,000 deaths from COVID-19 and more than one million infections accumulated confirmed. In addition, in the last week, the country twice broke the record of cases reported every 24 hours.

The country broke the record of cases registered in 24 hours nationwide twice in the last week (Photo: Eduardo Verdugo / AP)
The country broke the record of cases registered in 24 hours nationwide twice in the last week (Photo: Eduardo Verdugo / AP)

On Tuesday, November 24, the Ministry of Health (SSa) reported 10,794 new infections. Also, a few days later, on Friday, November 27, 12,081 new infections were added in a single day, beating the maximum reached at the beginning of the week.

However, Chávez Díaz knows that the situation can always get worse. “It is difficult to predict the behavior of the pandemic, part of the criticism of the doctor Hugo Lopez-Gatell they are due to the imprecision of the peak of the pandemic ”, he warned.

Due to the behavior in other countries that had their first wave months before Mexico, the union with the Influenza season, the fatigue of the population to follow measures, lack of medicines in hospitals and more factors, it seems that December and January will be the worst months of the pandemic in Mexico

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And is that for the anesthesiologist, the authorities have sent mixed messages about the situation. “There are places with a high risk of contagion such as clubs, bars and restaurants without natural ventilation that they are still open despite going to an orange traffic light”, He indicated, referring to Mexico City.

From orange to red at the epidemiological traffic light

The doctor criticized the mixed messages from authorities at all levels regarding the use of face masks (Photo: Cuartoscuro)
The doctor criticized the mixed messages from authorities at all levels regarding the use of face masks (Photo: Cuartoscuro)

The bars and clubs, to which the capital’s government of Claudia Sheinbaum allowed them to open at the time only to function as restaurants, They were closed again a couple of weeks ago and will remain that way for at least 15 more days given the significant increase in hospitalizations.

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However, the restaurants, although with reduced hours and capacity, continue to operate, and criticism and pressure have increased against the head of government because the orange epidemiological traffic light (high risk) has been maintained even with the increase in cases in the capital.

“It seems that there is constant struggle between the economy and public health, when in reality there should not be this conflict, interests are aligned, if there is health in the population, the economy can recover”Said Chávez Díaz.

Chihuahua and Zacatecas are the two states that have returned to the red epidemiological traffic light after turning orange (Photo: Paul Ratje / Reuters)
Chihuahua and Zacatecas are the two states that have returned to the red epidemiological traffic light after turning orange (Photo: Paul Ratje / Reuters)

“It is not convenient for any country to have deaths, a sick or disabled population, or those with sequelae from the disease. But many rulers of the three levels (local, state and federal) continue without giving the example of the correct use of the mask and without limiting the activities such as press conferences or meetings that can be held electronically ”, he specified.

But Mexico City is not the only one in the Republic. At the beginning of November Chihuahua, in the north of the country, became the first state to return to the red epidemiological traffic light (maximum risk) due to the increase in hospitalizations, deaths and infections.

This Monday, the government of Zacatecas, in central Mexico, also announced its reversal from orange to red traffic light. Chávez Díaz, for his part, considered that “the approach (for the closure of businesses) can be done in the places with the highest risk of contagion: bars, restaurants without natural ventilation, gyms, parishes,” he said.

The doctor urged the population not to travel or visit others during the December holidays to avoid more infections and deaths from COVID-19 (Diego Simón Sánchez / Cuartoscuro)
The doctor urged the population not to travel or visit others during the December holidays to avoid more infections and deaths from COVID-19 (Diego Simón Sánchez / Cuartoscuro)

“That way, Contagions are greatly reduced and many more businesses from other lines of business can be kept open, without collapsing the economy completely ”, he completed. According to the doctor, the other vital aspect is public transportation.

Another action that has lacked emphasis is on public transport, it requires more units, longer hours and better qualityThat would have more impact than all the sanitizing mats in the world, ”he explained.

Whats Next

Even with the vaccine available, vaccination campaigns can take several months (Photo: Dado Ruvic / Reuters)
Even with the vaccine available, vaccination campaigns can take several months (Photo: Dado Ruvic / Reuters)

Faced with this situation, Chávez Díaz urged the population to avoid trips and visits for the holiday season. “Just living with people who live in the same house, not traveling, not visiting other families,” he remarked.

“It is easy to make mistakes in the measurements, especially when we are with family, we have an instinct to get closer, also due to the consumption of alcohol and food, Every meeting is expected to have a lot of time of people without masks, so it is highly recommended not to do them”He added.

It is not easy to set a date, the most optimistic experts put a return to the “old normality” at the end of 2021, the most cautious until 2022

And, despite the positive news regarding the development of different vaccines, the doctor recalled that it is difficult to predict when the situation will change definitively. “You don’t have to party ahead of time. The vaccination campaign for millions of people will last several months and the health services could continue in intermittent shortages in supplies and medicines ”, he highlighted.

MORE ON THIS TOPIC

“Take it very seriously”: the desperate request of the WHO to Mexico after doubling of COVID-19 cases

“There is no risk of saturation”: AMLO assured that there is a capacity for care in CDMX hospitals

Boosting small producers amid the COVID-19 pandemic: the initiative that promotes collaboration chains

ALL ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS





Source link
https://www.infobae.com/america/mexico/2020/11/30/diciembre-y-enero-seran-los-peores-meses-del-covid-19-en-mexico-especialista-de-la-unam-advirtio-que-aun-falta-tocar-el-punto-mas-bajo-en-la-pandemia/

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