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The number of infections decreases and on the map of Italy orange returns to prevail. Of the nine Regions currently in the red zone – Valle d’Aosta, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Piedmont, Emilia Romagna, Tuscany, Puglia, Lombardy, Campania and Calabria – three from next week could move into the lower risk range, the orange one. These are Lombardy, Emilia Romagna and Friuli Venezia Giulia.
It will mean shops that are all open, including hairdressers and beauty salons, possibilitiesat to circulate in the Municipality of residence without self-certification, schools in attendance up to the eighth grade and at least 50% in high school.
Certainty will arrive on Friday 9 April, when, as usual, the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, will sign the ordinances for the change of area and color of the regions, based on the report prepared by the Control Room of the Istituto Superiore di Sanità on the analysis of updated data from the territories.
In the front line for the transition to the band is Lombardy, which has a transmission index Rt lower than 1 and the incidence rate below the limit threshold of 250 per 100,000. The pressure on hospitals is still high, the employment rates of intensive care and ordinary wards are 59% and 48%, respectively (source Agenas, data updated to 7 April), “but the trend is decreasing”, they point out from the Region. Lombardy was classified at moderate risk for two consecutive weeks, the Rt index was 0.85 and yesterday, Wednesday 7 April, the incidence was 203 per 100,000. On the basis of this data – “with full knowledge of the facts”, remark from the Region – in the morning the regional president Attilio Fontana announced: “I will do everything and ask the control room that Lombardy can be placed in the orange zone”.
Even for the president of Emilia – Romagna, Stefano Bonaccini, it is not excluded that his region will change color from next week.
“We have the number of cases that is decreasing, I do not exclude that we may be orange from next week “, he said in the videocall organized by Confesercenti with the regional leaders of the association. “CouldMaybe we will be red again next week, orange the next, but at the moment I can’t rule out anything ”, underlined Bonaccini.
For a couple of weeks the number of new infections has decreased and after Easter the incidence has fallen below the critical threshold of 250 positives per 100,000 even if the percentage of hospitalizations and occupations of hospital wards remains high (47% for intensive care, 48% for ordinary departments – Agenas data, updated to 7 April). Similar situation in Friuli Venezia Giulia which also hopes for orange and has lower hospital employment rates (45% for intensive care, 46% for ordinary wards).
Piedmont and Tuscany are also looking at the change of band, but in this case the change is less obvious: it will depend on the pressure on hospitals, which is still high. Especially for Piedmont which, as reported by Agenas on the basis of data updated to 7 April, has an occupancy rate of the intensive care wards at 57% and of the ordinary wards at 67% (the limits are set at 30% and at 40%). % respectively).